Owner: Keene Weather URL:http://keeneweather.blogspot.com Join Date: Sat, 19 Aug 2006 11:56:34 -0500 Rating:1 Site Description: The latest forecasts, alerts, and current conditions for the Monadnock Region plus coverage on the tropics and outlooks for severe weather and winter weather in the area. Site statistics:Click here
Significant system D5-6, followed by cold. 2008-04-06 09:40:00 The much hyped La Nina severe weather season will likely come in full force in the Midwest starting Tuesday with a strong upper level low diving south out of British Columbia. This potentially dangerous storm system will move east through the Ohio Valley and into the Mid Atlantic and Northeast by Saturday. It is uncertain what the effects will be on the northeast.Confidence is high for a signficant load of Gulf moisture to advect into the plains states and Ohio Valley region out ahead of the trough. In question is how strong upper level troughing will be off the east coast. That will dictate how sharp the upstream ridging will become. The ECM is much more robust with ridging in the east than the GFS. Per the Euro, SNE could easily see 70 mid week. As it is, I am confident that Keene will e Read more:Significant
Summer Forecast 2008-04-16 19:49:00 La Nina will remain intact throughout the summer, although weakening above a -.6C anomally. This is following a moderate to strong Nina winter. QBO is neutral nearing positive phase and should last at least through October. March AMO is the 6th highest on record which will be a major factor.Analogs for this summer: 1999, mid 1950's, and mid 1930's.West should be near to below normal. Midwest and Ohio Valley will see significant heat waves especially June to July. Heat will shift east for August with main focus on the Mid Atlantic region.West: -1 to +1Midwest and Ohio Valley: +2 to +5South: -1 to +1Mid Atlantic: +1 to +3Great Lakes and Northeast: 0 to +2------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Read more:Summer
, Forecast
Changes on the horizon 2008-04-25 21:15:00 Beautiful weather has held steady over the region for the past week. This period encompassed our first two 80+ degree days of the year. The one thing lacking was rainfall. Due to a strong upper level ridge over the region, all storms were deflected away. This is all due to very strong blocking in the western Atlantic and East Coast. This blocking is soon to be interupted however, by an intensifying jet stream that will blast into the region early next week.Tomorrow night, front will lift back north, introducing warm air advection. Frontal system currently triggering severe weather in the Great Lakes region and some wintry weather further west will push northeast above the ridge and weaken bringing some showers to the region through Sunday morning, with only very light accumulations expecte Read more:horizon
Highly amplified pattern 2008-05-08 16:27:00 While sunny skies and 70 degree weather has returned to New England after a chilly start to May, the cold and storminess will be back upon us over the next week.Low pressure will move south of the region tomorrow afternoon, and strengthen steadily as it turns northeast. Intense mid level warm air advection will advance ahead of the storm. Rain will move through SNE Friday afternoon, reaching Keene by the evening hours. Rainfall should be fairly light in Keene as we will be on the northern fringe of the storm, however further south could see some serious flooding issues. The forecast models have been consistent in bringing over 3 inches of rain to parts of the northern Mid Atlantic region and southern New England. There will be a sharp cut off in accumulations to the north, so some changes
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