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  • A bettor wager blog

    Owner: A bettor wager
    URL: http://sancho8297.wordpress.com
    Join Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2008 20:35:47 -0500
    Rating:0
    Site Description:
    As my blog title states, we’ll be focusing mainly on two topics: NFL picks and NFL rankings. The first topic, NFL picks, will be covering everything from setting up your basic strategy for the NFL season, to analyzing the many methods of making picks. We’
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How to get our winning NFL week 2 picks
2008-09-11 15:53:41
Good afternoon sports bettors. We have been getting visitors looking at our post Winning picks have arrived, only to find the post only shows week 1 picks! Our NFL picks for week 1 were free, but from here on out you will have to purchase them. Our picks are just too valuable to give away for [...]


Line movements for NFL week 2
2008-09-11 02:18:51
In last weeks post I touched briefly on some of the movement in the Vegas Lines and how it affected our Picks made by ITN. I want to give a more thorough look at the movement in NFL week 2’s lines and at what it means for future lines. So why do we care about line [...]


NFL rankings for week 2 by ITN
2008-09-09 17:56:21
The first week of the 2008 NFL season brought us a little bit of everything. We saw big upsets on the road by Carolina and then by Chicago. A few surprise strong starts by Atlanta and by Buffalo. The quarterback drama between Green Bay and New York continued to make headlines, with the veteran Favre [...]


NFL week 1 line movements and games to watch
2008-09-03 12:43:35
Now that our predictions have been made, the only thing left to do throughout the week is to watch the movement in the Vegas/Sportsbook Lines to see if any of our predictions are gaining or losing value. Based on early morning odds this morning (9/3/2008) here are some games that have gained or lost value [...]


Some fantasy football fun
2008-09-02 02:21:18
Ok, so the Fantasy Football didn’t get quite the reaction I expected. I probably started it a little late, but will definitely keep it in mind for next year. So the contest has been ended. Thanks to those who were interested. I want to lighten things up a little, and what better way to do that [...]
Read more: fantasy

Winning Picks have arrived
2008-09-01 12:38:44
Enough reading and clicking… Show me Week 1 NFL picks! Inside the Numbers (ITN) has finally released its first picks of the 2008 NFL season. Before we get too excited though, I want to remind you that Week 1 can be a tricky week to bet on since there is very little concrete information to go off [...]
Read more: Winning

A look at great football team offense
2008-08-28 08:11:50
I think the heart of the matter comes down to asking, what makes an offense great, or really, what is the goal of an offense?The obvious answer is to help their team win. Ok, but how? When an offense steps on the field, is their goal to gain as many yards as possible? Or to gain as many yards per play? I don’t think it's either. I would even argue that their goal isn’t to score as many points


Put those NFL picks to work
2008-08-27 15:50:29
In one of my previous posts, Create a betting strategy before the season starts I laid out the reasons why you shouldn’t make bets off the top of your head and talked about what it takes to form a good sports betting strategy. This is the promised follow up on that post, and it really [...]


2008 NFL preseason rankings released
2008-08-26 20:41:18
Inside the Numbers has just posted its first rankings of 2008. Although its early and the pre season doesn’t mean a whole lot, the rankings have some interesting teams on top. Check em out. Pre season NFL rankings by ITN. How to get the most out of this blog Tags: nfl rankings | football rankings | nfl [...]


WARNING: Those NFL rankings you are looking at are worthless
2008-08-19 23:47:07
Ok worthless is probably a little harsh. A more accurate description would be that they have little meaning to you. Why is that? I break it up into three things: intent of the ranker, intent of the reader, and accuracy of the ranker’s method. It is more likely than not you and the ranker are trying to put an image together with two different sets of puzzle pieces, or just the opposite, two diffe


NFL week 5 rankings
2008-09-30 12:36:34
Just when Inside the Numbers started giving them some respect Dallas falls off of its perch. The team to replace them probably isn’t on your list of top teams, but they should be. Several other teams either lost their first game or won their first. See how all the teams stack up through the first [...]


NFL week 4 line movements
2008-09-26 11:52:14
Time to see how the lines for week 4 are actually moving. Below has our predicted movement based upon the public betting from weeks 1-3, and the actual movement in this weeks line. Good luck on the bets folks! Confused? Matchup Open Current Change San Diego @ Oakland -8 -7.5 -0.5 Buffalo @ St. Louis -8 -8 0 Denver @ Kansas City -9.5 -9.5 0 Cleveland @ Cincinnati 3.5 3.5 0 Arizona @ NY


NFL picks for week 4
2008-09-25 12:22:11
Everyone is looking for them, and rarely are they found: Quality NFL picks that will help you beat the Vegas line, win your office pool, show up your boyfriend, whatever your great need happens to be. Cue Inside the Numbers. We’re new. We’re good. We win. To help you with your cause, here is our Three for [...]


NFL week 4 rankings
2008-09-23 14:19:49
The week 4 NFL rankings by ITN are out, and they are going to spark some interesting conversation. Their strength of schedule ranking system Real Points gets included now, and it puts some pretty good spin teams like Tennessee, Dallas, Arizona, and Buffalo. If you are looking for something a little different from the other [...]


An early look at NFL week 4
2008-09-22 11:41:55
How much fun was week 3!? We had overtime games, powerhouse matchups, and some very surprising upsets. ITN’s Pick Six finished the week 4-2 and for the third straight week came home with profit. Looking ahead to week 4 we want to be as ready as possible when the latest picks come out, so lets [...]


Who will be this year’s most interesting NFL team?
2008-09-20 03:49:08
I’m going start off by saying that the most interesting team has to be a lock to finish 9-7 or better. That makes it easy to eliminate: Kansas City, Detroit, Cleveland, Miami, St. Louis, Cincinnati, Seattle and Houston. Twenty-four left. Minnesota, Jacksonville, New Orleans, Atlanta, San Francisco, and Oakland have an outside shot at finishing better than [...]


NFL stat facts week 3
2008-09-19 14:07:40
Did you know? San Francisco is 70-75 (.483) on the road over the last two decades, giving them the 8th best record in the league over that same time. Arizona’s road record of 35-110 (.241) is the worst in the league. Last years AFC South ranks as the toughest division in the NFL since 1990. The 2007 NFC West [...]
Read more: facts

NFL week 3 line movements
2008-09-18 09:04:50
Ok it’s thursday morning and that means its time to revisit how the betting has influenced the lines on games this week. So far most of the movement has been pretty close to what we expected in our Early look at week 3. The one surprise seems to be betting in favor of Detroit over [...]


NFL week 3 rankings
2008-09-16 14:08:26
ITN has released its rankings for week 3 of the NFL season. If you are looking for rankings that aren’t an almost mirror image of ESPN or all those power polls, you’ve found the right place. Check em out. NFL week 3 team rankingsNFL week 2 team rankings Tags: nfl rankings | NFL week 3 [...]


An early look at NFL week 3
2008-09-15 11:34:09
**We’re getting a lot visits from people searching for Baltimore picks and other NFL picks. ITN has a very good record on its Pick Six, they can be purchased for $5 for a limited time. Otherwise check the links to the left for other picks.** We have been tracking public opinion and line movements lately, and [...]


NFL week 7 picks
2008-10-16 00:47:30
These NFL picks will help you finally beat those people at work who use the Mascot , Team Colors, or whatever hairbrained-but-incredibly-lucky prediction method they are using to frustrate you week after week. Our ‘Three for free’ has been around for 3 weeks and is an impressive 9-0. We don’t use a mad lib pad and a magic [...]


NFL week 7 odds and line movements
2008-10-15 01:39:10
Last Updated: 2pm 10/17/2008 # of games last week where the line moved in the direction predicted: 11 # of games where line moved in opposite direction or did not change: 3 (MIA @ HOU, NYG @ CLE, NE @ SD) Against the spread lines Matchup Open line Expected close Current 49ers @ Giants 10.5 9.4 10.5 Broncos @ Patriots 3 3 3 Browns @ Redskins 7.5 6 7.5 Chargers @ Bills 0 -0.4 1 Colts


NFL week 7 rankings
2008-10-14 20:57:55
How much fun was NFL week 6!? Madness we tell you. Don’t worry we have the stats to help you sort it all out, even if it does make you raise an eye brow or two. Here are the latest NFL rankings by ITN: One quick reminder as my post “Warning: those NFL rankings you are [...]


NFL week 6 picks
2008-10-09 08:58:21
Need some free and quality NFL picks? Done. The ‘Three for Free’ is now 2 weeks old, and sports a very nice 6-0 record. We don’t use a mad lib pad and a magic 8 ball to make our predictions folks. Anyway we hope you are having fun and enjoying the 2008 NFL season, it has [...]


NFL week 6 rankings
2008-10-09 00:41:27
While the NFC East continues to impress, the teams doing most of the work promoting that divison probably weren’t your pre-season picks. Also, the top 4 ranked teams are beginning to get a little separation from the rest of the pack, but will it last? Find out how each team measures up in this week’s [...]


NFL week 6 odds and line movements
2008-10-08 00:23:58
Against the spread lines Matchup Open line Expected close Actual close Bears @ Falcons -2.5 -2.8 -3 Bengals @ Jets 6 5.5 9.5 Cowboys @ Cardinals -5 -4.8 -5 Dolphins @ Texans 3 1.9 3 Eagles @ 49ers -4.5 -5 -5 Giants @ Browns -8 -9.6 -7.5 Jaguars @ Broncos 3.5 2.8 3 Lions @ Vikings 13.5 13 13 Packers @ Seahawks 2 1 1 Panthers @ Buccaneers 1.5 1.5 2 Patriots @ Chargers 6 5 6


Who is going to the Super Bowl? Our first quarter prediction…
2008-10-05 04:15:29
By Inside the Numbers We have now seen most teams play one quarter of their regular season. Not really a whole lot of information to go off of yet. Or is it? We’ve been ranking NFL teams since 1996, and the last 12 seasons of data have some interesting lessons to give out. Everyone loved the Cowboys [...]
Read more: Super

NFL odds and lines - week 5
2008-10-02 12:43:46
First I want to apologize for not getting the NFL week 5 line movements out earlier. It has been a busy week over at ITN, putting me a little behind. I’m also a little behind because I felt the previous posts on NFL lines and odds were lacking a little bit (actually I haven’t posted anything on odds yet, [...]


NFL picks for week 5
2008-10-01 14:23:54
You’ve got NFL picks to make, we have NFL predictions to give out. Our first release of the ‘Three for Free’ NFL picks got off to a great start last week, going 3-0. Overall our straight up picks were 10-3 in week 4, with our top 7 picks waxing the competition with a 7-0 record. The [...]


NFL picks for week 10 - bonus pick!
2008-11-07 10:41:03
The ‘Three for Free’ had a solid showing last week and is now 13-5 after 6 weeks. It is getting closer to the Holiday Season, and I’m feeling in the giving mood, so I will add on a bonus pick to the ‘Three for Free.’ Enjoy. I also threw the Tennessee pick in there because [...]


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