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The real reason why Warren Buffett is shopping in Europe
2008-05-21 03:14:59
Some say this is to acquire revenue streams in hard currency. All right but surely a far more obvious reason for Buffett to be buying companies in Europe is that he wants to move away from the devaluing US dollar. For if the dollar continues downwards for the next couple of years that will deliver [...]
Read more: Warren , Warren Buffett

Reporting on The National: setting new Gulf press standards
2008-05-21 01:52:36
Dubai supermarkets still do their best to bury The National amid piles of property guides, but the superlative quality of this new newspaper owned by the Abu Dhabi Government can not be denied. It shows up rivals as inferior in their professional standards and frankly very amateur and erratic by comparison. The stage is surely [...]
Read more: Reporting

Soros and hedge funds pessimistic but not on the Gulf States
2008-05-20 23:49:01
As one of the world’s leading hedge fund managers George Soros has a lot to gain by stirring up market gyrations. But a new Deutsche Bank survey of a thousand hedge fund investors found 80 per cent of participants bearish. Soros is no longer alone, indeed for a contrarian he is frighteningly close to the [...]
Read more: States

Fed policy to result in higher and higher inflation, what comes next?
2008-05-20 00:06:21
Don’t listen to my humble ramblings, pay attention to what ECB President Jean Paul Trichet and ex-Fed chairman Paul Volcker are saying on inflation and current Fed policy. Yesterday Trichet warned governments not to make the mistake of ‘second round effects’ on inflation which followed the 1970s oil shock and ‘enshrined the high level of inflation [...]
Read more: comes

Ritz Carlton, Dubai: still in a class of its own
2008-05-19 07:00:16
The latest MasterCard survey of consumer confidence in the UAE showed that no less than 99 per cent of residents planned to spend more on personal travel this year. But one alternative is to save on airfares and book into a top local hotel instead. You will not have the hassle of travel and can [...]
Read more: Carlton , Dubai , class

$1,200 beckons for gold as oil hits $128
2008-05-19 04:32:44
Spot the correlation? Well it is not a perfect match but oil and gold tend to track each other with around a 90 per cent correlation depending on your formulae. And the rule of thumb is that the oil price is gold less one zero. On this simple analysis then with oil at current prices gold [...]


Will the bond market be the next shoe to drop?
2008-05-18 00:47:48
US and UK house prices are falling and there is a banking crisis. I am also worried about equity prices as profit forecasts are way too high. But the more immediate problem may be the bond market where prices anticipate falling interest rates that just may not be realistic or obtainable now that inflation is [...]


Toshi: a new favorite restaurant for Dubai Media City folk
2008-05-17 00:09:44
The Grand Millennium Dubai is an awkward hotel to locate being situated on the opposite side of the road to the extension of the Dubai Media City. But the modest effort is well worth it to discover the signature new Toshi Asian fusion restaurant with panoramic views from the 18th floor over the Palm island [...]


Asian stock markets crash, London, New York next?
2008-05-16 22:46:52
Stock indices still look quite perky in London and New York despite what senior commentators dub the worst financial crisis since the Second World War. Yet Asian markets tell a different story and probably signal days to come. Markets in Tokyo and Hong Kong are down more than the bear market correction mark of 20 per [...]
Read more: crash

HSBC says buy Gulf stocks as emerging markets fade
2008-05-16 00:41:42
HSBC flew its Head of Global Emerging Markets Equity Strategy, Dr. John Lomax into Dubai this week for Wealth Management Seminar for its Premier customers. His message was that investing in emerging markets has become far more difficult but that the best opportunities are now in the UAE, Qatar and Saudi Arabia. Dr Lomax has regularly [...]


Will $135 oil bring Wall Street crashing down next week?
2008-05-22 01:04:21
You have to wonder which shoe is going to drop first: the oil price or Wall Street ? A sell-off in stocks last night might well be the start of a serious correction for US equities which look particularly overvalued given the obvious strains now showing in the US economy. Yes, the Dow Jones is an index [...]
Read more: crashing , Wall Street

UBS $15bn deal with Blackrock looks absurd
2008-05-21 23:06:41
Why would you sell an asset at a big discount and then make a loan to fund that same acquisition putting risk back on your own balance sheet? Welcome to the crazy world of hedge funds and banks. For this is exactly what UBS has just done in selling $22 billion of toxic assets to [...]
Read more: absurd

That Burj Dubai TV commercial
2008-05-21 08:03:09
If you listen to CNN, BBC World or even Al Jazeera International you could be forgiven for thinking the Middle East is a war zone with no hope of economic progress. But look at Dubai with the world’s tallest building under construction - indeed UAE infrastructure investment will be running at 80 per cent of [...]


HSBC precious metal forecasts looking up but not far enough
2008-05-24 02:32:40
This week gold closed at $925 an ounce and silver topped $18.10. The bounce back from the March correction is gaining strength with silver showing a five per cent gain for the week, outperforming gold. HSBC has raised its 2008 price forecast for gold to $915 an ounce from $850. You have to wonder, having upgraded [...]
Read more: precious

S&P 500 Q1 profits down 18%, stocks only 3.2% down
2008-05-23 23:01:24
Spot the coming fall on Wall Street! The numbers say it all. Profits for the 461 out of 500 S&P companies that have reported first quarter profits are down by 18 per cent. By contrast the S&P 500 Index was only down by 3.2 per cent in Q1. More evidence that a substantial correction or [...]


$15.5bn UBS rights issue at 73% discount, what next?
2008-05-22 23:05:53
Yesterday Swiss bank UBS launched a $15.5 billion rights issue to restore its tattered balance sheet at a huge 73 per cent discount to the price its shares were trading at a year ago. This clearly explains the rush to clear the decks with the sale of $22 billion in distressed assets to Blackrock for $15 [...]


Wow Burj Dubai - May Update!
2008-05-25 08:24:50
From the same brilliant young producers as the April video - it just gets better!
Read more: Dubai , Update

Silver my top tip for 2008 as ABBA returns!
2008-05-25 01:12:09
If you asked me today what would you do with a $10,000-$50,000 windfall, or $5-10 million for that matter, my answer would be simple: buy silver bullion. Silver is a leveraged play on the gold price and physically in very short supply. The same thing happened in the late 1970s when ABBA ruled the pop [...]


Dubai Q1 export trade booms by 79%, cashing in on oil prices
2008-05-26 23:11:41
Dubai is feeling the searing heat of the oil boom in the Middle East with export s rocketing by 79 per cent in the first quarter, and total non-oil trade in the region’s commercial hub city up by 46 per cent to $58billion. This is a fantastic performance by any yardstick. Note that these figures exclude oil [...]
Read more: Dubai , booms

S&P reckons oil market not like the 70s but good for gold
2008-05-26 06:59:01
Today I caught up with Standard & Poor’s VP for commodities, Eric W, Kolts who was over from New York speaking at a conference in Dubai. He is resolutely bullish on oil prices, and rejected my comparison to the 70s. ‘I can remember what happened then personally and it was not the same. The 70s oil [...]


US Treasury green light for Gulf currency revaluation
2008-05-25 22:40:34
The latest US Treasury report to Congress on International Exchange Rate Policies recognizes the inflationary pressures that the dollar-peg is putting on the Gulf States which some analysts see as a green light for revaluation in the oil-rich region. This is a highly significant report because it is widely believed that US opposition to revaluation is [...]


Buyers queuing overnight as demand booms for Dubai real estate
2008-05-27 23:05:53
Negative real interest rates courtesy of a dollar-peg, high oil prices, not a little media attention and still attractive price levels are keeping Dubai real estate booming. It is a total contrast to most global property markets where activity has slowed or is in recession. New project launches in the right locations sell out quickly. [...]
Read more: Buyers , overnight , demand , booms

New Hunt brothers of the silver market most likely to live in Arabia
2008-05-27 01:58:51
Beginning in 1973 the then richest family in America decided to beat inflation by buying silver, then $1.95 an ounce. It worked brilliantly and by 1979 the Hunt brothers had amassed half the world’s silver in a pool with wealthy Arab investors and the price peaked at $54. But they used too much leverage and [...]
Read more: likely , Arabia

Entering phase two of the credit crunch, buy gold and silver
2008-05-29 01:19:23
The real credit losses for global banks may just be starting as defaults emerge on credit cards, car loans and corporate loans. This will be the stage two of the global credit crunch as markets move out of the eye of the storm and back into crisis mode. As The Daily Telegraph reports today ‘the [...]
Read more: phase

Revaluation urgently needed in the Gulf States
2008-05-28 23:04:30
Inflation levels have picked up again across the GCC this year. We have Saudi Arabia officially in double-digits for the first time. In the UAE the dampening of rental inflation by new supply has not happened; apartments are fetching 20 per cent more in rent than a year ago in Dubai and the Colliers International [...]
Read more: States

Geopolitics, Iran and the price of gold and silver
2008-05-29 23:23:06
It gave me no pleasure to read an article in the Gulf News this morning by former German foreign minister Joschka Fisher warning Iran that the US and Israel appear to be gearing up for a strike on its nuclear facilities before the change of US President. Gulf News is published in Dubai which is a [...]
Read more: price

Professor Roubini predicts 12-18 month US recession
2008-06-01 08:27:29
I met Professor Nouriel Roubini in Dubai when he addressed the poorly attended DIFC week. His gloomy logic seems a good deal more probable than the optimistic noises from the pundits of Wall Street. This is like a cascade of dropping shoes as the economy gets much worse before recovering. A long period of low [...]


Stalking the best gold and silver juniors a profitable summer sport
2008-06-01 02:26:08
Ask anybody in mergers and acquisitions where they expect the action to be this year and energy and mining will top the list. But the big miners are changing tack and going after undervalued minnows rather than their rivals. This new strategy makes sense, even for cash-rich mining companies. And many are sitting uncomfortably on huge [...]
Read more: Stalking , sport

Profit warnings should bring Wall Street tumbling down
2008-06-01 01:41:05
It amazes me how high the Dow Jones and S&P 500 stand today given everything that has happened in the US economy over the past year: sub-prime crisis, financial crisis and the credit crunch. I know that is because the pain so far has been felt in the financial and property sectors and not elsewhere. But [...]
Read more: warnings , Street , Wall Street

Van Eeden says high oil price due to Fed policy
2008-05-31 00:00:42
Gold analyst and investment expert Paul Van Eeden defends his view that current high oil price s are all down to the Fed and its loose monetary policy. I can only fully agree, and wish I had taken his advice on buying bullion a year ago when we met in Dubai. Van Eeden is a tough [...]
Read more: oil price

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