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This Week's Links (10/8-10/12)
2007-10-12 11:17:00
Shockingly, Dick Vitale's playoff predictions were quite poor.There is a new "Boom King", apparently.Basketball Prospectus made its debut this week.The PITCH f/x data is available to everybody, which is kind of cool.Manny Acta dislikes bunting, and enjoys blogs.Sheehan in his chat yesterday:"I'll go one further: no one should sign any free agents this offseason. The chance that a 2007-08 free agent will generate a positive return over the life of his contract is comfortably under 10%"Leitch's NY Times playoff blog:"Analysts are still trying to figure this whole Rockies business out. During last night’s game, TBS broadcaster Bob Brenly went back to the basics. “They play the game,” he said. “They pitch. They catch.” These are admirable attributes in a baseball team, and are undoubtedly keys to a successful baseball franchise. That no one thought to mention this before September 2007 speaks poorly of previous Rockies management, I think." Finally, music news that nobody exc


ALCS MVP Odds
2007-10-12 11:00:00
Since this went so well last time (what odds do you think I could get on Webb winning the MVP now? 100:1?), let's have a look at BetUS.com's ALCS MVP odds.The problem with these is that the house advantage is enormous. All of these percentages add up to 216%, which is a bit excessive- for regular futures odds, that number is usually about 140%. Having said that, and with the understanding that I am probably making the same mistake here that I made with Webb, Beckett at 8:1 is my favorite here. I'm still half-convinced that Boston will go with him in G4, since starting Wakefield really seems like it would be a complete mess. And if it ends up being Beckett vs Westbrook in G7 (in Boston), the Red Sox would be enormous favorites.Related: ALCS Playoff Prospectus: Indians versus Red Sox [BP, Jaffe]


Are the Indians "Built for October"?
2007-10-11 22:40:00
When trying to gauge the relative strengths of teams in October , people tend to use run differential. The Red Sox were +210, the Indians +107, thus the Red Sox must be significantly better.The runs scored portion of this makes sense to me. Boston averaged 5.35 R/G, Cleveland 5.01. Those numbers are probably pretty representative of the strength of their offenses.In terms of pitching, however, run differential doesn't strike as a very effective way to judge teams in October. First of all, a lot of these guys aren't even on the playoff rosters. Does it really matter that Jeremy Sowers allowed 49 runs in 67.1 innings? Should we really care that Roberto Hernandez had a 6.23 ERA in 26 innings? As incredible as Clay Buchholz was in limited work (22.7IP, 4ER, 22K), that really isn't going to help the Red Sox against the Indians.I think we also need to take into account the extra off days. During the regular season, C.C. Sabathia made 34 starts, which is 21% of the Indians' games.
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ALCS Preview: Fielding
2007-10-11 22:20:00
I am quite tired of writing all these previews, and want to write something after this tonight, so this is going to be quick.C: Victor threw out 32% of basestealers this season; Varitek was at 24%. I suppose Tek is probably better at calling pitches (he's been doing this for awhile), and catcher's defense is hard to quantify, so I'll call this a push.1B: This is not close. Garko is a converted catcher, and is still kind of finding his way. Youk is a converted 3B, and is one of the best defensive 1Bs in the league. Clear edge to BOS.2B: The fielding metrics have Pedroia about average, which seems right. After watching Asdrubal for the last two months, I can tell you this much: he is not average. Edge to CLE.SS: Peralta is terrible, and Lugo is a little above average. Definite edge to BOS.3B: Both the THT and UZR numbers have Lowell as below average; doesn't he have thereputation as being really good? Blake has a great arm, but that's a bout it. Edge to BOS.LF: Manny's fie
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ALCS Preview: Bullpens
2007-10-11 18:48:00
Boston's bullpen ERA this season was 3.10, and Cleveland's was 3.75. I would argue that those numbers aren't all that relevant, as in October you don't need a particularly deep bullpen, and can avoid using the Tom Mastnys of the world. I'm going to try to concentrate on the guys who are going to get the bulk of the innings and have a big impact on the series. FIP is Fielding Independent ERA, and takes into account only K/9, BB/9, and HR/9.The difference in ERA somewhat overstates the discrepancy here, but the gap is still huge. Papelbon's K/9 of almost 13 is completely absurd. It is unlikely Papelbon will be the reason Boston wins this series, but Borowski could easily lose it for the Tribe. Sure, he led the AL in saves (45), but he was also first in opportunities, with 53. He gave Indians fans everywhere a heart attack while trying to blow Game 4 against the Yankees, thankfully his efforts came up short.The only thing that could save Cleveland here is that it seems like Wed
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ALCS Preview: Lineups
2007-10-10 21:42:00
Yesterday, I looked at the rotations, and concluded that the Indians had a slight edge in that department. Today, the lineups.For each player I've included some pretty standard stats, as well as a couple of BP's more advanced metrics. In case you're unfamiliar with EqA and VORP:EqA:A measure of total offensive value per out, with corrections for league offensive level, home park, and team pitching. EQA considers batting as well as baserunning, but not the value of a position player's defense. The EqA adjusted for all-time also has a correction for league difficulty. The scale is deliberately set to approximate that of batting average. League average EqA is always equal to .260A-Rod led the AL in EqA this year, at .339. Josh Barfield checked in at .204.VORP:The number of runs contributed beyond what a replacement-level player at the same position would contribute if given the same percentage of team plate appearances.A-Rod led the AL in VORP as well, at 96.6. Nick Punto was la
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Inside Vegas: Championship Series Edition
2007-10-10 19:11:00
According to the Vegas lines, the current odds for each team to win it all:As you may have noticed, the top two teams on this list happen to be playing each other. So Vegas gives the AL a 65.6% chance of winning the World Series. I guess BOS would be an even bigger favorite than that over ARI, and CLE would be a lesser favorite over Colorado. Either way, that's kind of amazing.Before the playoffs began, ESPN had 20 of their guys submit picks. Five picked the Yankees (including Bob Klapisch...shocking), six the Red Sox (incl. Gammons and McAdam), three the Indians (Olney, Neyer, Keri), and three the Angels (including Barry Bonds correspondent Pedro Gomez). THREE PEOPLE picked a NL team to win the World Series. Stark had the Cubs (so did I...oops), and Amy Nelson and Jim Caple took the Rockies.This is amazing to me. If the Arizona Diamondbacks, who had the NL's best record, advance to the World Series, ESPN's analysts will have been 0/20 in predicting this. In fact, even given
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2007 Vegas Watch NL MVP: Matt Holliday
2007-10-10 15:08:00
I'm OK with this, I guess. I voted for Wright, but I'm not at all surprised he didn't win. Holliday had a great year (even in Coors), and Colorado did win 14 of 15 to get into the postseason, while the Mets fell apart (although I still contend that this had nothing to do with Wright).I also like that Ryan Howard was the only guy who didn't get a vote. Seems fair.NL Cy Young voting is up- this shouldn't be too difficult.Unrelated: does anyone know if you can make it so certain people's comments automatically go through? For the people who comment regularly, there's no reason for me to have to "Publish" or "Reject" their comments.
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ALCS Preview: Starting Rotations
2007-10-09 15:56:00
The last time the Indians made it this far, I was 11. Needless to say, I am excited. I was thinking about doing one really long preview, then decided that was dumb. So I'll be breaking this up into sections (SPs, RPs, and lineups, I guess) over the next few days. Today, the rotations.As you will see, I am going to decide which team has the "edge" in each match-up, and then arbitrarily give a number to the "impact" that will have on the series. We'll see how this goes.Game 1 (Fenway, Friday @ 7pm) CLE Starter: C.C. Sabathia BOS Starter: Josh BeckettI'm going to resist getting into the Cy Young debate again. Since we're now concentrating on who will do better going forward, here are the rate stats for these two guys (final column is Fielding Independent ERA):So, yeah, these guys are decent. This is almost a dead heat, but I'm going to give the advantage to Beckett for a few reasons. First, Boston's defense is better. The stats shows this, and I've anecdotally noticed it a
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You'll Never Guess Who's on the Back Pages
2007-10-09 08:42:00
I understand that the contract aspect is part of this, but still...A-Rod: 4/15, .267/.353/.467, -.180 WPAThe Captain: 3/17, .176/.176/.176, 3 GIDP, -.377 WPAOh, but I guess this needs to be factored in:A-Rod: Zero World Series ringsJeter: Four World Series rings (and calm eyes)Related: Two Responses to Yankee Loss [FanHouse, Alper]Come On, AP [FJM]
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The Yankees Lost
2007-10-09 00:01:00
Joe Torre, five seconds ago:"You understand a five game series is a crapshoot, basically."Seriously? I feel like you probably didn't say that after any of the five game series that you have won."Alex Rodriguez started the series 0 for 6 in the first two games in Cleveland, but when the chips were down and his team needed him most, he dug down deep and bounced back with four hits in Games 3 and 4, including a gargantuan home run Monday night that drew his team within striking distance. Despite these herculean efforts from the best player in the game, the Yankees could not overcome a late, dramatic GIDP by series goat Derek Jeter, his third of the series in only seventeen at bats. Jeter, a reliable on base presence in the two hole during the regular season, looked uncomfortable all series long, never getting into a groove and finishing with a 0.176 OBP with no walks in the series." -FJM, of course.Pos: "One final question: Will the New York writers tear apart Derek Jeter for having one


Indians Advance!
2007-10-08 23:30:00
Yahoo! is awesome.
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Game Four Live Blog (Kind Of)
2007-10-08 20:23:00
I can't stand sitting here and not writing anything. I'm not gonna update this every two minutes like last night, but when I have something to say I will. Feel free to chime in in the comments- they're still moderated, but I'll accept stuff right away.9:24 They should let Byrd go out for the 4th, but have Laffey ready to face Damon or Abreu if Byrd struggles. Byrd may have held them to one run, but they've had seven freaking baserunners in three innings. This falls under the category of "unsustainable". They won't do this, of course.9:38 You're not just nervous, Hermano. You're just sane.9:40 Okay, so they need to somehow get through five more innings. Byrd should be on an extremely short leash in the 5th, with Lewis ready. I think that actually might be what Wedge does."Paul Byrd has been dazzling." It's like we're watching different games. Eight baserunners in four innings.9:55 Even with the double-clutch by Mientkiewicz, Grady was out.10:02 "It's tough to fight


Another Open Letter to Eric Wedge
2007-10-08 19:56:00
Dear Eric,First of all, I take back my comment about you being a "reasonable guy". That was false.Please get Aaron Laffey into this game as quickly as possible. Paul Byrd has allowed six baserunners in two innings. His WHIP is three.Vegas Watch (8:58PM ET)
Read more: Letter , Wedge

Game Four Primer: Indians' Bullpen
2007-10-08 15:32:00
Indians' roster is here.Joe Borowski (RHP): Pitched the 8th yesterday, walking two but not giving up anything beyond that (20 pitches). Will pitch the ninth if the Indians have a lead, probably regardless of how big it is. That is a very scary thought.Rafael Batancourt (RHP): Pitched the 9th in G1 (22 pitches), allowing a hit while striking out one. Will probably be available for up to two innings tonight.Rafael Perez (LHP): Went two innings in both games in Cleveland (31 and 23 pitches, respectively). Has now had two days off since then. Will likely only pitch one inning, although I suppose he's available for up to two.Jensen Lewis (RHP): Threw an inning in both G1 (8 pitches) and G3 (16 pitches). Has thrown very well both times, striking out four guys total and not allowing a baserunner. He'll be in for the 5th or 6th if the Indians are ahead, and probably the last third of the game if they're trailing.Aaron Fultz (LHP): Pitched an inning last night (18 pitches), giving up
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ALCS Game Six Live-Blog
2007-10-20 17:38:00
6:38 So Ellsbury is starting in place of Coco, and Trot is starting in right for the Tribe (Yahoo!).I am looking forward to the Indians throwing their season away because Trot Nixon cannot make a routine play in right field.6:55 Posnanski rants about the Indians, Red Sox, and clutch hitting.7:11 The rest of the lineups:7:37 The odds at Matchbook the Red Sox a 54.8% chance of winning.I think that's somewhat insane, by the way.8:03 "Fenway Park, the very last place the Indians expected to be after taking a 3-1 series lead."Wow. Dramatic. And wrong.8:07 Re: Intersquad games, Karros (to Tulowitzki): "Have you been able to keep up that level of intensity?"...no?8:13 Kennedy & Karros...worse than Buck & McCarver? They might be.8:17 I like how they're talking about how Fausto wasn't good in G2, but only talking about what Schilling did four years ago. Schilling was awful in G2 as well.8:25 Grady just misses a cheap Pesky pole HR. Was it fair? I have no idea.8:28 I think it wa


ALCS Primer: Game 6
2007-10-20 00:05:00
Game 6 LineupsQuickly, because this section is clearly useless:Victor, Garko, Asdrubal, Peralta, Blake, Kenny, Grady, Gutierrez, Hafner.Varitek, Youk, Pedroia, Lugo, Lowell, Manny, Coco, Drew, OrtizGame 6 StartersIn 17 career postseason starts, Curt Schilling has a 2.23 ERA, with 111 Ks in 121 innings. That's pretty impressive, but I'm not sure it's all that relevant. In his career, Schilling has averaged 8.6 K/9, but this year he was down to 6.0. He's a completely different pitcher than he was in 2001, when he pitched 48.1 innings in October (and November, actually), striking out 56 and allowing just six earned runs (1.18 ERA). I'm not saying he's bad, or won't pitch well. I just don't think what he did in the playoffs six years ago plays much of a factor here.In two playoff starts this year, Schilling has a 3.86 ERA, with 7 Ks and only 1 BB in 11.2 IP. He pitched very well against the Angels offense in the ALDS (7IP, 6H, 0R, 1BB, 4K, although the Angels didn't have Kot


This Week's Links (10/15-10/19)
2007-10-18 23:39:00
The following may be the best opening sentence I've ever read."I've come to the conclusion that I should never, ever, ever turn the sound on when watching a baseball game on television.""I always will believe that during the 1996-2001 dynasty, Mariano Rivera was the only uniformed member of the organization more important to the Yankees' success than Torre." Really, Buster?I thought Wedge was insane to leave CC in for the 7th; The DiaTribe and Posnanski agree.Nate Silver on the Yankees' offer to Torre.Dan Patrick signs on with Sports Illustrated.The e-mail from "Jacob" on FJM the other day? Yeah, that was me. I'm pretty cool.Posnanski:"...I was sitting in the front row, and Knight began what was supposed to be a press conference about Texas Tech basketball by talking about the baseball playoffs...Then he said, 'Anybody got any questions about the American League Championship Series.' Well, you know me...I’m not going to pass that up."Patrick Ewing, Jr. teaching Jerry Rice


Day 17: Updated Vegas Percentages
2007-10-18 23:38:00
So, for the first time (ever?), the Rockies are the favorites to win the World Series. What a strange sentence.It will be interesting to see what these numbers look like if the Red Sox win on Saturday. My guess would be the Rockies' % decreases a little more (maybe to 36%), the Red Sox jump up to about 36%, and the Indians fall down to 28%.Another off day today. So they've now played three games in the last six days. This is not how baseball is supposed to be played. I understand the days off for travel. But having an off day between G4 & G5 was ridiculous.The Indians are +120 for G6, giving them a 44.6% chance of winning. With Carmona going up against Schilling, that seems pretty low to me. Do Schilling's performances in October when he was 34 ('01) and 37 ('04) really have much to do with how well he pitches in October when he's 40?
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ALCS Game Five Live-Blog
2007-10-18 17:45:00
6:59 Lineups:Of course Gutierrez is starting. First pitch at 8:21.8:20 Finally here.8:25 Youkilis crushes a ball out to left, and we are off to an excellent start.That was not an "inside" fastball. That was an atrocious pitch.8:29 How about you just play a single into a double, Kenny. Great.8:30 And Gutierrez guns Ramirez at the plate, on a play that was not particularly close.8:36 After a Sizemore leadoff double (which I missed), Asdrubal lines one to right, almost too hard, as Sizemore has to stop at third.Pronk up.8:39 Hafner bounces into a 6-6-3 DP, Sizemore scores. Well that rally was short lived.8:40 Victor singles. Even if they only get one run, this is much more promising than G1's first inning, where Beckett struck out the side.Oh and Garko is not at .444 with two out in the series. Or the playoffs. Or something. Whatever.8:43 Garko strikes out on another nasty curveball. 1-1 after 1.8:47 I keep getting IMs from "MLB", first telling me to watch the game, and now tell


ALCS Primer: Game 5
2007-10-18 15:51:00
Tonight, the Indians have a chance to clinch their first pennant in 10 years, with likely Cy Young winner C.C. Sabathia taking the hill for the Tribe at Jacobs Field.If you isolate that information, it looks great for the Tribe. But Sabathia has struggled in the postseason, and he's going up against Josh Beckett, who has been dominant in two October starts (0BB, 15K in 15 IP).Because of this the Sox are actually favored tonight, with Vegas giving them a 53.8% chance of extending the series to a sixth game.Game 5 LineupsKielty started in right for the Sox in G1, and came through with a two-run single in the 5th that knocked Sabathia out of the game. Drew has had a pretty poor series, going 4/15 with no extra base his and no walks. I would think Kielty starts tonight against the lefty Sabathia.Wedge played Gutierrez in right in G1, but he struck out both times he faced Beckett, so I'd guess he goes with Nixon tonight. Although I think I've been wrong on the Indians' RF the last t


FOX Is A Red Sox Fan
2007-10-18 01:20:00
To this point, the playoffs have been fairly boring. Three sweeps in the NL, seven total ALDS games, and an ALCS that could end in 5. The best game over the past three weeks was probably the Wild Card tiebreaker between the Rockies and Padres, which isn't even technically a playoff game.Coincidentally, this is also TBS' first year of broadcasting playoff baseball. It's not going so well- the NLCS got worse ratings than the final Little League World Series game.Amazingly, the biggest ratings disaster of the postseason may be still to come. Tonight, the Indians try to clinch the AL Pennant in Game 5 against the Red Sox . With Beckett pitching for the Sox, they're favored to win. You can be sure that's what the people at FOX are rooting for. Regardless of how long the series goes, the World Series won't start until next Wednesday. That means if the Indians win tonight, there will be five days with no baseball before the World Series begins.A Red Sox-Rockies WS would probably


Day 15: Updated Vegas Percentages
2007-10-16 23:58:00
If the Red Sox had won last night these would probably look more like COL 35%, BOS 40% CLE 25%. They did not, however. If Cleveland advances, it looks like the WS is going to be about 60/40 in favor of the Indians, which means the lines would likely be CLE -170 (bet 17 to win 10), COL +150 (bet 10 to win 15). At the beginning of the playoffs, Vegas had the AL at 63.4% to win the World Series. It's not surprising that the actual WS percentages is going to end up being lower, because a) the Rockies are pretty ridiculous right now, and b) if the Indians advance, they (fair or not, probably not) won't get as much respect as the Red Sox or Yankees would have. There is no game tonight, for no reason other than World Series TV ratings. Normally, the only off days this late in a series are for travel. But right now, both teams are just sitting around in Cleveland, waiting for Game 5 on Thursday night. Thanks, Bud.Whether Beckett was available to pitch last night is still unclear. It is qui


ALCS Game Four Live-Blog
2007-10-16 16:37:00
6:33 Leitch on Borowski's dominance:"Pretty much every pitcher in baseball is going to throw more innings in which he gives up no runs, than he will in which he gives up multiple ones. We are not blowing your minds here with math, are we?"Before the game starts, it is imperative that you watch this video (title: "Shopping Penguin"). Thanks to hoody for pointing it out.6:52 Lineups (I guessed wrong; it's Gutierrez in right for the Indians):8:00 It is not raining. Joe Buck says this is "great news". I agree.8:03 I did not include this with the lineups, but probably should have:8:11 The studio guys are currently talking about whether the Red Sox should have gone with Beckett tonight. I think I am getting dumber. One of these clowns just used the reasoning that Wakefield has never lost an ALCS start.Tim Wakefield, career postseason: 64.2 IP, 6.12 ERAIn the Division Series his ERA is 9.14, and in the LCS it drops to 3.89. This is...meaningful?8:16 Hermano, after my 4-1 prediction


ALCS Primer: Game 4
2007-10-16 00:46:00
Steve Phillips thinks pitching Wakefield in G4 is the right decision. Now I am quite confident that Theo/Francona are making the wrong move here.I hate to say this, with my team up 2-1, but I really think the team that wins tonight will end up winning the series. With Beckett going in G5, you have to like Boston's chances if they tie it up at 2. Although maybe Sabathia will find his way again.In (a potential) Game Six, I'd give a slight advantage to the Indians, even with the game being in Boston. I really think Carmona's poor performance in G2 was a fluke, as opposed to Schilling, who just doesn't have great stuff anymore.Game Seven would be a rematch of last night's game, Westbrook vs. Matsuzaka. It would be unreasonable to expect Westbrook to give the Indians 6.2 IP, 2 R again; last night easily could have been 5 IP, 5 R if he doesn't get a couple timely DPs. But Matsuzaka was pretty bad; I don't know how he only issued two walks, as only 59 of his 101 pitches were stri


2007 Vegas Watch NL Cy Young: Jake Peavy
2007-10-16 00:37:00
Well that was thrilling. Although the second place finisher was somewhat surprising. The NL leaders in VORP, among pitchers:Nothing against the guy, but how did Harang get 16% of the vote? (And why did I include him and not Smoltz? No idea.) I'd like to know what the thought was behind that, or if it was just sixteen Reds fans. I guess at the end a few people might have just been voting for who would get second between Harang and Webb; but really, who cares?AL RoY poll is up now.Previously:Matt Holliday, NL MVPC.C. Sabathia, AL CyTroy Tulowitzki, NL RoY
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Day 14: Updated Vegas Percentages
2007-10-16 00:35:00
No real surprises there. It'll be interesting to see what the WS line is. AL has the home-field advantage (and, more importantly, the superior teams). BOS will get a good deal more respect than CLE; I would imagine the Indians would be about -190, the Red Sox -225.The strike zone in the Indians' game last night was a joke. Unbelievably inconsistent on both sides. Brian Gorman guy is one of the 12 best umps in the majors? Really?Game 4 Primer up at like 5. Live-blog at 8.
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Inside Vegas: World Series Edition
2007-10-23 23:23:00
According to the Vegas lines, the current odds for each team to win it all:The Rockies are +200 to win the series at The Greek; according to these #s, you'll pretty much break even on that over the long run.Obviously, the Red Sox are huge favorites. But the Rockies win this series about one third of the time, according to Vegas. So while it would be a pretty significant upset, it really wouldn't be that much of a shock.With Beckett pitching at Fenway, the Sox are also huge favorites to win G1, at 65.8%. Combining this with the series odds, it looks like if BOS wins on Wednesday, they'll be up to about 76.7% to win the series; if COL wins, they'll actually be slight favorites, at 52.8%.If you are confident in the Rockies, there is obviously money to be made here. 5Dimes has Colorado winning Game 1 by 7 or more runs at 22:1. And The Greek has a Rockies sweep at 25:1. I know they're not as good as the Red Sox, but they have won 21 of 22. Over their last 22 games, they've had a
Read more: World , Edition , World Series

The Seventh Inning
2007-10-22 22:01:00
The Indians blew a 3-1 lead, but I don't think "collapse" is an appropriate term. Personally, I never felt particularly confident. After going up 3-1 they immediately had to face Beckett, which is never pleasant. Then it was back to Boston, and although I thought Carmona had the edge over Schilling in Game Six, I knew we were dealing with a 23-year old who had thrown way more innings than ever before, and his performance was extremely unpredictable. I never got the feeling that it was within reach; the Indians never had a lead in any of the final three games, and the latest the game was tied was the third inning (in Game 5).Having said that, the Indians certainly had their chances. The seventh inning on Sunday night featured a ridiculous sequence of momentum swings, which I have tried to portray in the graph below. The y-axis is Boston's % chance to win the game throughout the inning, and I'll explain what each point represents below.1. At the beginning of the seventh, Boston'


ALCS Game Seven Live-Blog
2007-10-21 18:28:00
7:29 At this point I'm pretty convinced that there is absolutely no logic behind who starts in RF for the Indians. Like Wedge flips a coin or something.7:39 This live-blog is not going to be unbiased or intelligent. Exhibit A (from LGT):7:51 Right now there is a countdown on FOX: Game 7 starts in 5:56, 5:55, 5:54....That's not even close to being true. It's not even 8:00 at the end of that countdown. Why lie?7:55 The last time the Indians were involved in a Game Seven ? Yup. That one.7:57 Is Beckett available tonight in relief? No, right?8:03 No, Hermano, I refuse to predict anything. It's hopeless.8:08 I would just like to point out that Trot Nixon did in fact butcher a ball in right field last night. It just happened to be when the score was like 10-1, so nobody noticed.Peralta, Garko, Lofton, and Nixon each had defensive miscues last night. Asdrubal and Grady made tremendous plays. This shocks me.8:22 And I've already been called a "dummy" in the comments for asking a


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