Interesting news from the latest Rasmussen Poll on the Noriega v. Cornyn contest:
The United States Senate race in Texas continues to get tighter this month. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the Lone Star State finds Republican Incumbent John Cornyn leading Democratic State Legislator Rick Noriega 47% to 37%. When “leaners” are included, Cornyn leads 50% to 39%.
The incumbent s
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Nach einem Bericht der "Gazzetta dello Sport" ist der dänische Radprofi Michael Rasmussen vom Radsportverband Monte Carlo für zwei Jahre gesperrt worden. Der 34-jährige war im Vorjahr als Spitzenreiter von der Tour de France ausgeschlossen worden, da er wiederholt Doping-Kontrollen umgangen hatte.8 Vote(s)
This Via Hot Air
I was going to lead with something about McCain wanting to lift the moratorium on offshore drilling — duly qualified, of course, with conservationist panders about leaving the final decision up to the states, keeping ANWR off-limits, etc etc — but this is bigger news, isn’t it?
Suddenly that infamous Maxine Waters clip [...]
Facing an electoral drubbing, Republicans are now questioning the accuracy of Rasmussen polls, pointing out that they're automated--conducted via robocall rather than live interview.As Kos notes, however, automated polls have a pretty good track record as of late.I don't know enough to have a dog in this fight. But for what it's worth, my gut tells me that the ten point margin in the most recent R
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He now works at [[Mercantile Equity]] where he is know as '''Razzamuffin'''.
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He now works at [[Mercantile Equity|mercantile equity]] where he is know as '''Razzamuffin'''.
==External links==
==External links==
John McCain's national horserace numbers have strongly rebounded. He now holds 8 point leads against Hillary and Obama. Against Obama, he reaches the 50% level of support. He has been at or above that level 5 times against Obama since March 1st. Obama has not reached that point even once during that span. In fact, Obama has reached or exceeded the 45% level of support just 7 times. McCain has reached or exceeded that level of support 41 times during the same span of time. In fact, against Obama, McCain has failed to reach at least the 45% level of support only 3 days- March 11th-13th. During that time, he hit a floor of 44% support. During the same period, Obama failed to reach the 45% level 37 times. Within the 37 days Obama spent at no better than 44%, he spent 10 days at a low of 41%.Mc
Lots of fascinating data in the new Rasmussen poll on the Collins-Allen contest. Here are a few nuggets we found particularly salient:--Collins is ahead 20% among males but only 13% with women.--She has support from 27% of registered Democrats. Relatedly--and perplexingly--she scores 32% preference among self-described liberals. (Expect both of these numbers to fall as the election approaches.)--Collins wins all age groups, but Allen is closest (-4%) with voters under 30.--If Allen is to have any shot of winning, he will need to improve his standing with voters earning under 20K (-6%) and voters earning 20K-40K (-13%).--Allen leads decisively (+22%) among voters who think Iraq is the most important issue.--By contrast, Collins leads by an even larger margin (29%) among voters who think the
Source: WikipediaAl Gore Not Answer to Dem DivideExcerpt:"Some pundits have recently floated the possibility of Al Gore as a compromise nominee to end the Obama-Clinton struggle. However, when Rasmussen Reports asked Democratic Primary Voters about a three-way race including Gore, the former Vice President attracted less support than both Obama and Clinton. The national telephone survey of 423 Likely Democratic Primary Voters shows Obama attracting 42% support while Clinton earns 26% and Gore is the top choice for 23%."Related articlesIs Al Gore the 'way out of a mess'? [via Zemanta]All this talk about Al Gore as a compromise candidate... [via Zemanta]Senior Democrats mull Al Gore's nomination [via Zemanta]
Source: WikipediaAl Gore Not Answer to Dem DivideExcerpt:"Some pundits have recently floated the possibility of Al Gore as a compromise nominee to end the Obama-Clinton struggle. However, when Rasmussen Reports asked Democratic Primary Voters about a three-way race including Gore, the former Vice President attracted less support than both Obama and Clinton. The national telephone survey of 423 Likely Democratic Primary Voters shows Obama attracting 42% support while Clinton earns 26% and Gore is the top choice for 23%."Related articlesIs Al Gore the 'way out of a mess'? [via Zemanta]All this talk about Al Gore as a compromise candidate... [via Zemanta]Senior Democrats mull Al Gore's nomination [via Zemanta]
Not only does the latest poll conducted by Rasmussen show Mitt Romney leading Florida with 33% over McCain with 27%, but it gets even better when only conservative voters are polled, with Romney at 42%, almost doubling the next candidate, McCain, at only 22%. This is an integral stat, since only Republicans are allowed to vote in the Florida caucuses, unlike some of the other open primaries.Looking at the issues specifically, here are the polling results:Those concerned with the economy most - Romney 37%, McCain 33%Those concerned with national security/war in Iraq most - Romney 31%, McCain 31%Those who are concerned with immigration most - Romney 63%, McCain 7%The poll also revealed Romney as the candidate that voters thought to be the most electable, with 76% saying they believe him to
Survey of 441 Likely GOP VotersJanuary 4, 2008 New Hampshire GOP Primary John McCain 31% Mitt Romney 26% Ron Paul 14% Mike Huckabee 11% Rudy Giuliani 8% Fred Thompson 5% Some other candidate 2% ------------------------------------------------------ Survey of 510 Likely Dem Primary VotersJanuary 4, 2008 New Hampshire Dem Primary Barack Obama 37% Hillary Clinton 27% John Edwards 19% Bill Richardson 8% Dennis Kucinich 3% Mike Gravel 1%
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Friday, December 14, 2007
From Rasmussen Reports
Mitt Romney's strategy for winning the Republican nomination was to win the early states and build momentum. Rudy Giuliani's plan was to accept...
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Rasmussen Reports' daily tracking poll shows that as of December 4, 2007, Mike Huckabee is tied with Rudy Giuliani for first place in the race for the Republican nomination.Rudy Giuliani 18%Mike Huckabee 18%John McCain 14%Fred Thompson 13%Mitt Romney 12%Daily tracking results are from survey interviews conducted over four days. Each update includes approximately 600 Likely Republican Primary Voters. Margin of sampling error for each is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.references and credits:http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_2008__1/daily_presidential_tracking_polling_historyhttp://www.mikehuckabee.com/index.cfm?FuseAction=http://www.onthewriteside.org/feeds/posts/Blogs.View&Blog_id=818http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_2008__1/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_pollhttp://www.mikehuckabee.com/?FuseAction=http://www.onthewriteside.org/feeds/posts/Images.View&Image
Tuesday, December 04, 2007
Rasmussen Reports~ With less than a month to go before the Iowa caucuses, the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows that Rudy Giuliani has...
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In the race for the Republican Presidential Nomination, Rudy Giuliani continues to lead nationwide with 24% support. Surging Mike Huckabee now attracts 15% of Likely Republican Primary Voters...
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The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the Iowa caucus finds former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee with 28% of the vote, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with 25% support, and...
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HORSERACEFrom National Review Online
Rasmussen: Romney's Up to 2nd Place, Huckabee 3rd NationallyIt's a supremely tight race after Giuliani, but Rasmussen's latest national poll has something of a...
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Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
11/16/07
Giuliani 29%
Thompson 12%
Romney 12%
McCain 12%
Huckabee 12%http://feeds.feedburner.com/MassachusettsForMikeHuckabee
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Michael Rasmussen missed random drug tests in May and June, saying he had been in Mexico. But a former Italian rider said he saw Rasmussen in Italy at the time the cyclist said he was in Mexico.
He admitted he lied to the International Cycling Union about where he was before the Tour de France.
“First of all I would like to clearly state that I was not in Mexico in June. I have therefore misinformed both the UCI and the public. It is however important for me to stress that at no point did I lie to the team Rabobank,” he said.
Rasmussen Report Says:Fred Thompson Has Taken The Lead... In the race for the Republican Presidential Nomination, Thompson is on top for the first time since late July. The former Tennessee Senator is currently the top choice for 26% of Likely Republican Primary Voters. Rudy Giuliani, who has been the frontrunner for most of the year, is close behind with support from 22%. Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney earns the vote from 13% while 12% prefer Arizona Senator John McCain. Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee remains atop the second tier at 6%.Read Article***Thompson’s gains since announcing have come primarily among conservatives likely to vote in a Republican Primary. In polling completed since his announcement, Thompson leads Giuliani by 12-points among conservative primary voters. That’s up from a five-point edge before the announcement. Conservatives account for more than 60% of GOP primary voters. Two-thirds of Republican voters view Giuliani as politically modera
Un hacker (black hat) danés de 30 años fue arrestado por introducirse en el correo electrónico del ciclista Michael Rasmussen e intentar vender a un periódico la información que obtuvo, dijo el jueves la policía danesa.La policía dijo que el hombre fue arrestado en Herning, en el oeste de Dinamarca, el miércoles por la noche y está acusado de acceder de forma ilegal al correo electrónico de Rasmussen en una página web.Rasmussen fue expulsado el pasado mes del Tour de Francia por su equipo, el Rabobank, mientras lideraba la carrera debido a que supuestamente el corredor les había mentido sobre los lugares donde entrenaba, acusación que el danés rechaza.El periódico danés BT dijo a principios de esta semana que un 'hacker' intentó venderle mensajes de la cuenta de Rasmussen en Yahoo, incluyendo la carta de despido del Rabobank y supuesta información sobre los lugares de entrenamiento de Rasmussen.El periódico publicó lo que decía que era un email de Rasmussen que h
Il grande escluso del Tour de France, Michael Rasmussen parla per la prima volta dopo la decisione della sua squadra di ritirarsi dal Tour: “L’esclusione dal Tour e’ folle. Non e’vero che a giugno ero in Italia”. Questa sarebbe la dichiarazione rilasciata al quotidiano danese “BT” a cui Rasmussen ha confermato che in giugno si trovava in Messico. (more…)
rasmussen, tour de france
These are radical times for the Tour de France and professional cycling. Michael Rasmussen, the wearer of the yellow jersey, celebrated yesterday for a great ride that saw him fend off Discovery's attacks on the Col d'Aubisque, has been dumped off his team and the Tour after it was revealed that he had lied to the team management after his whereabouts during the month leading up to the race. "Trust me", were his words, spoken two days ago at a press conference when questioned about a growing perception and discontent among cycling experts about his doping-status. First it had been revealed that four warnings had been issued by the UCI and Danish Cycling Federation after he failed to inform them of his location. Then a former mountain-biking pro came forward with allegations of how Rasmussen tricked him into carrying an illegal doping product in Europe in 2002. You can see this article and a great commentary on it here and here.So Rabobank made the decision to sack Rasmussen and
GOURETTE, France — One of it’s biggest stars is already gone, and now so is the leader of the Tour de France.
Michael Rasmussen was removed from the race by his Rabobank team after winning Wednesday’s stage, a day after Alexandre Vinokourov and his team withdrew when the star cyclist tested positive for a banned blood transfusion.
It is in the news that Rasmussen lied his whereabouts last June. He told his team that he was in training in Mexico yet the team Rabobank found out that he really was in Italy.
Inte en dag utan dopingavstängningar och till doping angränsande skandaler i Tour de France.
Onsdagen bjöd på en dopad italienare, Cristian Moreni, och en dansk totalledare och etappsegrare, Michael Rasmussen, som sparkas ut av sitt eget stall med fyra etapper kvar och slutsegern mer eller mindre som i en liten ask.
Orsaken är att inte heller hans stall Radobank anser sig ha fått godtagbara förklaringar från Rasmussen om varför han missat så många dopingtester.
I hans fall vet vi inte om han är dopad, men det är lite som en av hans medtävlare, Sébastien Hinault, uttrycker det "Inte ens hans farmor kan tro att han missat fyra dopningskontroller av misstag."
SvD har förresten vaknat nu och har till och med dopingkarusellen i touren på förstasidan av svd.se.
De använder samma rubrik som jag satte på ett inlägg till Tour de France redan för ett år sedan när Floyd Landis avslöjades som fuskare - Tour de doping:
Mina tidigare inlägg
PAU - Klassementsleider Michael Rasmussen is woensdagavond door de directie van de Rabo-wielerploeg uit de Ronde van Frankrijk gehaald. Michael Rasmussen wordt woensdag gehuldigd als etappewinnaar en geletruidrager. De Deen zou de interne regels van de Nederlandse wielerformatie hebben overtreden....
President Bush’s firm position on Iraq has firmed up his Job Approval numbers. For the third straight day, 39% of Americans say they approve of the way the President his performing his job.
While 39% is admittedly dismal, it represents a bounce of 6% since June.
Another encouraging sign:
Eighty percent (80%) of Republicans across the nation now give the President their approval. That’s up from a low of 65% during the debate over immigration.
The amnesty bill definately hurt President Bush’s approval ratings with Republicans. When it looked as though this pathetic bill was going to pass, President Bush’s last remaining supporters began to abandon him. With the bill defeated it seems as though Republicans who see the big picture are returning. Republicans understand the importance of winning the war on terror, and realize that the president is holding firm on this issue even as Republican leaders begin to split with the president as they look for re-election. I beli
Mason-Dixon's average error was under 3.4 points in 14 races. Rasmussen missed by an average of 3.8 points in 30 races; SurveyUSA was off by 4.4 points, on average, in 18 races. But Zogby's online poll missed by an average of 8.3 points, erring on six races by more than 15 points.
SUSA put together a spreadsheet of how the various pollsters saw certain races.
As some will no doubt point out... Where Mason Dixon 'was' wrong, they most certainly seem to lean toward the Republican. Rasmussen being able to project 30 races all pretty much within margin of error is phenomenal. Zogby needs to look at a better way of being interactive.
showing the GOP catching up with the Democrats in generics. In Rasmussen's case they work with party affiliation. In October the Democrats had a 6.2 party edge. In November it is down to 3.0.
Today's Bush approvals has also jumped to 45%.
On the flip side... RCP and Pollster.com are reporting that CNN's generics have almost doubled from an 11 point Democratic lead to a 20 point Democratic lead while the President's approvals have dropped two more points over the past week or so... must have been that economic data? I have not seen the actual results, much less the internals. Both sources link a story that does not include the genericl polling information. This was apparently the reason that CNN broke affiliation with Gallup?
Two polls to report so far this weekend from Rasmussen. I inherently don't care for polls taken entirely over weekend days, but here we go anyways.
In Tennessee Corker leads 51-47. While that is slightly down from the eight points that he lead earlier in the week with two other polls showing Corker up double digits it is hard to imagine Corker not leading.
In Montana, Conrad Burns is trailing Jon Tester by a 50-48 margin... But Rasmussen is also seeing some real movement and is moving the rating of this seat back to toss up. He also points to the visits from Bush and Cheney along with the feeling that Montana is one state that doesnt want Democratic Control at a national level as reasons why this one might fall Burn's way at the end.
with Leaners it is Webb 51% Allen 46% during the overnight Sunday polling - that would seem to confirm the results of the internal Democratic poll which showed similar numbers? Rasmussen is downplaying it by describing it as a modest lead.. but they are showing the race moving eight points in a week to a Democratic challenger in a Republican state. Without leaners it is 48-46 meaning that nearly everyone 'leaning' is basically 'leaning' towards Webb.
One has to wonder if there was something funky in the Rasmussen results over the weekend or possibly last week. Both Menendez and Webb gained very significant ground from polls taken just a few days ago. Doesn't seem like events would warrant it in either case.
Could the release of the novel information have actually hurt Allen? Certainly Rasmussen suggests that both candidates have taken a hit in favorabilities...
All that is left for Rasmussen is to show Ford winning by five or six to complete the trivecta!
From today's Rasmussen Poll:
"The Rasmussen Investor Index increased two points and now stands at 146.6. This is just four points away from its highest reading ever and it has now increased seven points in the past four days."
This poll has been very accurate lately in pinpointing short-term tops when it goes above 145 and bottoms when it drops below 140. Today's reading indicates a short-term
