Polling

Sometimes as a blogger we need to know what are our reader oppinions about things we blog. For new type of Blogger template (.xml ) we can easily add simple poll from new page element option. But what if we need to take complete surveys about questions that are more complex and need more [...]

Time (in partnership with CNN), ran a story this past weekend on a recent WSJ/NBC poll that shows Obama leading McCain by 6 points. In retrospect, one would expect Obama to gain in points,... [[ This is a content summary only. Visit my website for full links, other content, and more! ]]

In an article yesterday, Mediaweek touted the growth of the cinema advertising industry to $540 million in 2007. One of my fellow digital signage bloggers - Bill Gerba - brought attention to this piece and cited why he sees this as a positive for our industry. In his post, Bill wrote:"While digital signage "purists" often don't include cinema advertising when talking about digital screen networks,

Ikutan Kampanya Ah………… Pilkada Jawa Tengah untuk memilih Gubernur dan Wakil Gubernur periode 2008-2013 tinggal beberapa hari… Polling Cagub dan Cawagub udah muncul dimana-mana termasuk di komunitas dunia maya. Ini dia beberapa hasil polling di komunitas dunia maya… dan saya percaya temen2 di dunia internet mempunyai tingkat intelektualitas yang lebih jos dibandi

Verizon Wireless announced beginning today it is introducing a ground-breaking text message polling program for moviegoers. Scheduled to debut in mid-June in 10 markets across the U.S. and during 3,500 show times, the interactive text message polling program asks moviegoers questions related to their music preferences and gives them an option to text their responses. After audience members submit

Here are the most up-to-date numbers in the race for U.S. Senate from Hudson County with 76 percent of the votes counted.Robert E. Andrews 6,343Donald Crestiello 792Frank Lautenberg 21,928 Personal Choice 12Total 22,043 100.00%

From SeekingAlpha:"Exxon pays taxes at a rate of 41% on its taxable income... In other words, just one corporation (Exxon Mobil) pays as much in taxes ($27 billion) annually as the entire bottom 50% of individual taxpayers, which is 65,000,000 people."We should tax them more (Hillary says).Democrats recently harassed Oil Company Executives in a much-publicized witch-hunt; but if the media were act

Shimla: Smt. Manisha Nanda, Chief Electoral Officer said here today that total 1172944 electors will cast their vote for the Hamirpur Parliamentary Constituency bye-election from 8.00 a.m. to 5.00 p.m tomorrow. It includes 1149329 general electors, 23615 service electors and 307 electors above the age of 100 years, she added. She said that out of total [...]

Setelah beberapa bulan mojoblog mencantumkan polling tentang bapak Achmadi yang bertujuan untuk mengetahui persepsi masyarakat akan kemampuan Achmadi sebagai salah satu calon gubernur yang akan memimpin Jawa Timur, akhirnya hasil polling kami tutup pada tanggal 11 Mei 2008. Perlu diketahui juga bahwa pertanyaan yang kami ajukan adalah “Layakkah Bpk. Achmady (Bupati Mojokerto Sekarang) Menjadi Calon Gubernur JATIM 2008-20013”. Dan hasil dari polling yang kami dapatkan adalah sebagai berikut : Total suara sebanyak 185 Hasil dari polling : Layak : 54 (29%) Tidak : 107 (57%) Tidak tahu : 24 (12%) Mengenai hasil polling ini, kami membuka selebar-lebarnya kepada anda untuk berpendapat dan bagaimana pula dalam mengapresiasikannya di dalam pilkada jatim yang insya Allah a

I guess the Obama people haven't looked at election laws. They are not supposed to do any electioneering in a polling place. Probably a isolated incident , but it is illegal. H/T to Election Journalvia Bob McCarty via Gateway Pundit...

Is this legal? Anyone familiar with Indiana state laws on politicking in polling places? *See update below Embedded video YouTube link Is This Legal? Obama Campaign Activity in Polling Place - Election Journal We entered the Crooked Creek Baptist Church in Washington Township at approximately 10:15 AM and noticed an Obama volunteer had set-up directly across from the voter check-in [...]

Fox News’s Chief ‘Smear Guru’ Sean Hannity and ReTHUGlican Pollster Frank Luntz Have Been Misrepresenting Polling Pata - To Make Obama Look Bad Report By: NewsHounds.US Republican Frank Luntz, who has been reprimanded for misrepresenting polling data, was once again presented as a neutral pollster on Hannity & Colmes last night (5/1/08), this time with another focus [...]

It's human nature to look for the easy way out.  Why should reporters be any different?  The media has gotten used to well-worn, comfortable ways of "reporting" on presidential elections.  They accept, and repeat, over and over, the Republican meme that Democrats are elite latte drinkers, out of touch with ordinary Americans, while Republican candidates, no matter how privileged and wealthy, are presented as men (they've always been men) of the people.  It's a lot easier than thinking critically and maybe it's more fun to talk about Obama's bowling score than it is to discuss the war in Iraq, health care, or the economy. A Bloomberg piece yesterday, entitled "Obama's Record Has Republicans Dusting off "Liberal" Attacks", is a case in point.  This isn't reporting, it's a hackneyed piec

Those living in London get to choose a new Mayor today, plus electing those who ostensibly look after the devolved powers of the "London Region". Whatever else happens, I hope that Ken Livingstone has more time to spend with his newts!As for the rest of us in England, some have elections others don't. I have a vote (actually two because I've got a proxy for my wife as Continental Airlines don't provide ballot boxes!) and I will be wandering off later today in the direction of the polling station. Being that this is Solihull, nothing that the hapless Prime Minister does will affect the outcome much as we are a Conservative/Libdem battleground. However, I do hope that he gets a proverbial bloody nose today.Welsh councils are voting also and they should provide the best territory for giving M

The Clinton campaign has been suspected of push-polling before the California and South Carolina primaries. There are new allegations that they are push-polling in North Carolina. The following is a portion of the recorded phone call: I’m going to read you a few criticisms opponents might make about Barack Obama. For each one please tell [...]

This week, we want to ask you if you've ever been polled yourself, but first, last week's results: Last week we asked you what you thought politicians and athletes should do about the upcoming Chinese Olympics. The results were surprisingly split. 27% of respondents thought no action should be taken. 24% thought politicians should boycott the opening ceremony. 21% thought there should be an across the board boycott by politicians and athletes of all events, 14% thought athletes as well as politicians should boycott the opening ceremonies, and 13% thought politicians should boycott the entire event. All in all, not much agreement over a good course of action. Now for this week. while we all hear about the latest presidential poll numbers all the time, whether it be primary polls or general

Bob Barr is quickly becoming the favorite candidate to win the Libertarian Party’s nomination. The nominee will be decided at the 2008 Libertarian National Convention in Denver from May 22nd to May 26th. I’d go there to blog live, but I’m planning on heading out to Vegas that weekend. (Don’t worry, I’m [...]

The New York Times is no longer a credible news organization. I know I have cited references to support this conclusion in the past, but this recent example is just as conclusive. Yesterday, the latest New York Times / CBS poll of 1368 Americans was released regarding the present State of the Union. In conjunction with the data, The New York Times summarized the statistics in order to explain the... Click the Headline Link to Visit Copious Dissent and Read the Full Story.

This is gonna be short because you’re all so into the poll on the previous post.  I’m so glad you’re liking it.  Already some of you have not only written about the heroes I posted, but also others including Adam Hunt from THE NIGHT BEFORE and Detective Pierce Reed of THE MORNING AFTER, two heroes [...]

The 12th Malaysia general election polling day is March 08 2008.All registered voters should exercise their most important right as a citizen in a free democratic country.Don't deny yourself this very important right.Go and vote.If you don't,all your hours of arguement in kedai kopi,living rooms and online forums are just waste of time and breath! This is the time for actions,not mere talks.

CNN just reported that Barack Obama has filed a lawsuit earlier this evening to keep 15 polling stations open until 9pm ET tonight. A judge agreed and said it was due to inclement weather. Ballot shortages also played a part. The 15 polling stations are in Cuyahoga county, in the Cleveland metropolitan area, a critical area for Barack Obama. Some of the polling stations had already closed and had to re-open.Keep an eye on the results as they come in, the first 1% reporting showed Hillary with almost a 20% lead. There's no way in hell she's going to win by 20% without fixing the ballots. Ohio has a long history of election fraud, particularly in the 2000 and 2004 Presidential Elections.

CREATE ONLINE POLLS or SURVEYS on your blog.Thanks for choosing this Google Gadget! Anyone can use it, but it is mainly designed for web masters who want to include a poll on their own website.HELP:In the edit settings enter your own title, the question you want to ask and the matching responses. The first three responses default to Yes, No and Undecided. If you want to prevent a default reponse from appearing enter a single character instead (like 'x') and the gadget will ignore that response completely. Each instance of the Polling Google Gadget can handle a single question. If you want to ask additional questions you will need to add additional instances of the gadget. If you change the question after a poll has started the gadget will clear the previous response counts and start ov

Sorry for didn’t update my blog for couple of days already. For you information, I just back from Penang today for my English tests purpose. Unfortunately I didn’t optimize my stomach to eat Hokkien Prawn Mee as many as possible because I got sick these few days. Yet my sister’s boyfriend had “tapao” (taken away) [...]

POLL WORKERS SHOWING INCREDIBLE ENTHUSIASM ON PRIMARY DAYpoll workers chanting "John McCain, John McCain, John McCain...." Others respond with "Hillary, Hillary, Hillary..."PREDICTIONS OF A MCCAIN AND OBAMA VICTORYSTILL STANDING STRONG!!!

PollDateMcCainRomneyGiulianiHuckabeePaulThompsonSpreadRCP Average12/27 - 01/0331.329.810.09.57.02.0McCain +1.5Suffolk/WHDH01/02 - 01/03252991382Romney +4.0Zogby Tracking12/31 - 01/03343091072McCain +4.0Franklin Pierce12/27 - 12/31373110562McCain +6.0CNN/WMUR/UNH2929121072Tie

JavaScript does not have threads. JavaScript functions are called when an event happens in a page such as the page is loaded, a mouse click, or a form element gains focus. You can create a timer using the setTimeout which takes a function name and time in milliseconds as arguments. You can then loop by calling the same function as can be seen in the JavaScript example below.function checkForMessage() { // start AJAX interaction with processCallback as the callback function } // callback for the requestfunction processCallback() { // do post processing setTimeout("checkForMessage()", 10000); }Notice that the checkForMessage will continue to loop indefinitely. You may want to vary the increment the interval based on activity in the page or your use cases. You may also choose to have logic that would break out of the loop based on some AJAX response processing condition.

JavaScript does not have threads. JavaScript functions are called when an event happens in a page such as the page is loaded, a mouse click, or a form element gains focus. You can create a timer using the setTimeout which takes a function name and time in milliseconds as arguments. You can then loop by calling the same function as can be seen in the JavaScript example below.function checkForMessage() { // start AJAX interaction with processCallback as the callback function } // callback for the request function processCallback() { // do post processing setTimeout("checkForMessage()", 10000); }Notice that the checkForMessage will continue to loop indefinitely. You may want to vary the increment the interval based on activity in the page or your use cases. You may also choose to have logic that would break out of the loop based on some AJAX response processing condition.

Here is a good summary of the situation from Politico.com A newly-formed group claiming to support Mike Huckabee hit the phones of Iowa Republicans tonight with an automated push-poll... [[ This is a content summary only. Visit my website for full links, other content, and more! ]]

In the race for the Republican Presidential Nomination, Rudy Giuliani continues to lead nationwide with 24% support. Surging Mike Huckabee now attracts 15% of Likely Republican Primary Voters... [[ This is a content summary only. Visit my website for full links, other content, and more! ]]

I recently had the chance to run a live session in SL with a class of candidates. Up until this point I had either delivered walk through type presentations of the virtual world, so having people seated at machines and being able to give them some actual tasks and activates was something that I had been looking forward to. The event was a Continuing Professional Development session, and candidates were either completely new or newish to SL. One activity I was particular keen to tryout was my idea for a poll. Normally this would be a case of selecting some kind of option from a form, but as this was SL, and I wanted to cash in those particular aspects and unique social opportunities that the environment affords us. I carried out the exercise by first getting everyone to teleport up to a skybox, where I showed them a series of slides on one of my boards. Each of the slides would present a particular scenario on which that had to respond by indicating a level of agreement or confidence.

CBS NEWS/NYT POLL IOWA: Romney 27% Huckabee 21% Giuliani 15% Thompson 9% Mike Huckabee comments on CBS/NYT Poll: "There's definitely momentum as people are paying attention to my message. We... [[ This is a content summary only. Visit my website for full links, other content, and more! ]]

I was watching the news today, and learned that a new trend among pollsters is to give the citizen being asked questions an MRI (magnetic resonance imaging) during the interview. The idea was brought up as the topic of a short segment between a female news anchor and an elderly professional pollster.The pollster's take was that it's just another "secret weapon" or "edge" that the candidates can use. In a race to be the next President, every bit helps, even if it's bunk. And that's just how he saw the MRI's usage. He said he believed that similar, if not superior results could be obtained from first asking someone how they felt about a candidate, and then following up with, "Why?"The MRI has revealed that when someone thinks of a certain politician, the emotion areas of their brain light up. So obviously each individual candidate will evoke a different emotional response in different people. The gist of the study, according to the pollster, was that women liked Hillary Clinto

Rasmussen Reports new tracking poll has Governor Huckabee at 14%. He is ahead of Governor Romney and Senator McCain and behind Senator Thompson by 2%. It is more important than ever to get your... [[ This is a content summary only. Visit my website for full links, other content, and more! ]]

Iseng-iseng, mojoblog mengadakan polling yang bertemakan pendidikan dengan pertanyaan “Apa pendapat anda mengenai pendidikan di Kabupaten Mojokerto”. Sengaja pertanyaan ini kami ajukan dengan maksud ingin mengatahui bagaimana pendapat dan pandangan masyarakat terhadap kualitas pendidikan yang ada di mojokerto. Polling ini dilakukan selamat 5 bulan dan respon yang didapat adalah sebagai berikut : 1. 8 Persen menyatakan Maju 2. 13 persen menyatakan Cukup 3. 33 Persen menyatakan Kurang, dan 4. 48 Persen menyatakan Masih Jauh Dari Harapan Dari hasil polling yang didapat, silahkan anda melakukan tafsir sendiri bagaimana kesimpulannya. Karena polling ini hanya dilakukan di kalangan terbatas yaitu pada pengguna internet yang kebetulan juga mampir ke Mojoblog. Dan bagaimana juga pendapat anda…?Untuk lebih detailnya, ini data polling nya:

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows a very tight race for the Republican Presidential Nomination. Rudy Giuliani is now supported by 21% while Fred Thompson is... [[ This is a content summary only. Visit my website for full links, other content, and more! ]]

The Republican primary race is so much more interesting than the Democratic one. It seems as though anything could happen with the GOP. Take this last week, for example. Fred Thompson declared his candidacy and shook up an already-volatile field of candidates led by a pro-choice, thrice-divorced New Yorker who has never held national elective office.A new round of polls, taken after Right Said Fred Thompson declared his candidacy, shows an unsurprising uptick in support for Thompson -- he has been a kind of "none of the above" choice for Republicans for a while and continues to be a "none of the above" choice for those dissatisfied with the options presented by (to use someone else's words) "Rudy McRomney."One interesting thing to note is that Thompson seems to be coming at the expense of Mitt Romney, rather than at the expense of Rudy Giuliani. Even more interesting, support for John McCain has increased in this same period of time. Hizzonner's poll numbers have been pretty muc

Over the last decade, the media has become completely obsessed with youth opinion polls. Can someone explain to me why money is wasted figuring out what the most ignorant citizens in society think? Next, we can survey Lindsay Lohan to get her opinion about limited government and the Laugher Curve. There really are few things more absurd. First, an enormous number of Americans below the age of 24 have not been married. Many are childless. They have not been steadily employed for more than a decade. Notably, many of them are still in school ready to get a start in life. This certainly does not qualify someone to give opinions about anything, especially public policy. Yet, recently the Democracy Corps/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner survey found young people “profoundly alienated from the Republican party and its perceived values.” Furthermore, according to the survey responses, “Young people react with hostility to the Republicans on almost every measure and Republicans and y

Dalam kehidupan sehari-hari kita sudah sering mendengar kata "polling", sebenarnya apakah polling itu? menurut Febrian Rusydi dalam situsnya http://febdian.net/node/74 menyebutkan: "Polling adalah cara mendapatkan informasi atau opini publik lewat sejumlah pertanyaan" Polling sering kita lihat di TV, situs, dan sekarang salah satu fasilitas teranyar dari blogger adalah Polling, kita bisa

Dari judulnya anda pasti bingung dengan kata Draft, tetapi sebenarnya tidak membawa perbedaan antara Draft Blogger dengan Blogger yang sekarang anda gunakan. Untuk mengerti mengapa setiap anda setelah melakukan login, anda di direct ke subdomain draft.blogger.com, silahkan buka URL nya saja, karena akan ada peningkatan kinerja dan fitur lagi yang dilakukan blogger. (more…)

Related to www.bumchecks.com is http://finance.groups.yahoo.com/group/checkrecoveryservice, a site where you can find some interesting questions and polls about bad checks and bad check collection.Current bad check polls include "how many bad checks your business averages in a single month" (http://finance.groups.yahoo.com/group/checkrecoveryservice/message/2), "libraries considering using a collection agency (http://finance.groups.yahoo.com/group/checkrecoveryservice/message/4), and businesses considering using a District Attorney bad check restitution program (http://finance.groups.yahoo.com/group/checkrecoveryservice/message/3).

Today, all the obliged(over 18) Vietnamese out for nation-wide vote in a parliamentary election. Everything seems to be very well-prepared. Roads are embellished by banners, some shopping stores is ordered to close in a bid for clean atmosphere in the special day. Vietnam vs Cambodia - some distinction views: no death threat or killings, no road political campaign. And there's only one political party, the communist party of Vietnam, joining the election. The Vietnamese casting their votes (photo: vnexpress.net). Some Vietnamese are skeptical about the genuineness of the poll--members of parliament may have already been pre-selected??!!

A polling says that it is too early for Indonesian military personnel to take part in the legislative and presidential elections in 2009, a top brass says.Citing the result of the survey carried out last year, Army Commander Gen. Djoko Santoso said that majority of 200 respondents said that "it is not the time yet" for the military to use their political rights.

As Kitchener Conservative points out, Decima released two polls in the past few weeks, one on Nov. 5 and one on Nov. 13. Here are the numbers: Nov. 13 Nov. 5 Liberal 33% 28% Conservative 31% 31% New Democratic Party 15% 18% Bloc Québécois 10% 9% Green 10% 9% What's strange is that the Nov. 13 poll seems to indicate that only 1% are undecided. In the Nov. 5 poll, 5% are undecided. In fact, this is where the bulk of that Liberal increase comes from. The Conservative vote was unchanged.Funny. You'd think that with the income trust announcement, the Conservative vote would actually DROP. But it didn't. So you can't possibly blame this on recent news involving the Conservatives. The NDP dropped though. What did they do? Oh, they started working with the Conservatives on the Clean Air Act, and now it's going to an all-party committee. Bi-partisanship, what a shameful endeavour, eh?So what's really going on? Hard

I took a look at the final week's worth of House polling to see how close the various polls and pollsters were. Since the last polls were completed on Sunday, November 5 I chose all polls completed from Monday, October 30 through that data, for a total of 39 polls from 13 pollsters. There are a couple of ways to evaluate the polls. The first method is to look at how accurately each pollster predicted the actual vote percentages of the Republican and Dmocratic candidates, a measure which temds to penalize pollsters who have a high percentage of undecideds. The second method is to look at how close the margin, a measure which tends to penalize any poll for which undecideds broke convincingly for one candidate. I'm more impressed with pollsters who came close to the actual vote percentages by candidate than I am those who simply got the margin right, but both measures are reasonable for evaluating the polls. The closest poll using the first method was SurveyUSA's November 1-3 pol

Well at the very least the average polling results did not project anyone to win that did not win... so in those regards it was 100% accurate. But in some races it was closer than others. Let's do a quick run down. Arizona Final 5 polling average - Kyl 48.8% Peterson 41.2% - Polling Spread 7.6% Final actual result - Kyl 53% Peterson 44% - Actual spread 9% This is actually pretty close at 1.4%. If you simply figure that the incumbent got a bit more of the undecideds than the challenger, then this result works. Connecticut Final 5 polling average - Liberman 49.2% Lamond 38.2% - Polling spread 11% Final actual result - Lieberman 50% Lamond 40% - Actual spread 10% Another very close call by the pollsters. In this case the conventional wisdom that the challenger would pick up a bit more of the undecideds could easily explain away the 1% difference. Maryland - Cardin 48.2% Steele 45.0% - Polling spread 4.4% Final actual result - Cardin% 54 Steele 44% Actual spread 10% The only resu

Well we know that about 40% of the population voted. That is up from other midterms. We also know that the double digit generic polling numbers for congressional races never materialized. In fact, the national congressional vote came down with the Democrats as a whole recieving somewhere between 4.5 and 5% more than the Republicans. The average of 11.5% as seen by RPC was a bit more than the usually overinflation of 6% that we are used to seeing. It seemed that Pew, Gallup, and ABC/Washington post were closer to the truth than the CBS/NY Times, Time and CNN crowd that still saw the gap in the teens upwards of 20. Pollsters like Majority Watch that saw a 23 point difference were obviously completely out to lunch. Looking at their last round of extended polling that was supposed to be showing the increased playing field... they projected 27 democratic pickups on top of the 10 or 12 that were the no-brainers. Of those 27 only 15 turned out correctly while almost an equal amount (12) wer

This is the final post where I'll list the polling margins for the 29 races where the latest independent polls show the margin in the races to be less than 5 points. This point doesn't come too soon, as checking the data and preparing the table took more than an hour this morning. Of the 71 races in the spreadsheet 19 races had two polls which needed to be averaged to comeup with their placement and an additional 8 races had three polls which needed to be averaged.

The campaign for James Webb in Virginia was quick to release an internal poll showing that he is actually ahead in Virginia by four or five points depending on how you read it. Certainly everyone was wondering how the well timed release of selected passages from the James Webb novels would play out. If you have not been paying attention, Webb has written novels that include some explicit sexual scenes involving acts that demean underage boys and girls. Webb's books are fictional stories that are supposedly in part inspired by actual events in Vietnam. No saying whether he supposedly witnessed, knows people who witnessed, or if this is just more John Kerry style cutting the ears of people talk. The reaction in the state of Virginia of course is unknown. Allen and his team are hoping that it has an effect similar to the "macaba" incident, while Webb and his team are hoping that it will appear to be a dirty political trick that will backfire. Now the problem here is that dirty politi

There is a part of me that wonders out loud how much of these Democratic sponsored polls in normally GOP stronghold districts are being commissioned for real reasons, or being commissioned for purposes of political strategy. It seems like almost every day there is a new district where a normally safe Republican incumbent is being shown in a neck and neck tight race with some unknown democratic challenger. Nearly all of these polls are being commissioned by the DNC or are being taken by Majority Watch. Take New York for instance. New York really started with no Districts where Republican seats were suggested to be in real danger. But eventually there were a couple of districts that started getting attention. Specifically the open NY 24 district being challenged by highly funded Democrat Mike Arcuri and NY 20 where Democratic challenger Kirsten Gillibrand started getting a lot of press. Next someone decided that NY 26 was a hotly contested district, and before you knew it there was no

There have been a number of polls on Senate and Governor races released this weekend, and I'll run through the closest races in this post as well as one race which isn't (the Texas governor's race). I'll start with Maryland because two different firms released polls there. Maryland Rasmussen (October 26, 500 LV, MoE +/-4.5%) Senate 50% Cardin (D) 45% Steele (R) Governor 50% O'Malley (D) 47% Ehrlich (R) (Inc.) Washington Post (October 22-26, 1003 LV, MoE +/-3.1%) Senate 54% Cardin (D) 43% Steele (R) Governor 55% O'Malley (D) 45% Ehrlich (R) (Inc.) Interestingly, both surveys show the governor's race as closer than the senate race. It's been a while since I paid attention to the governor's race, but my recollection is that senate race was closer in most polls a month ago. These results could both be fluctuation around a common mean, such as 53%-44% for senator and 52%-46% for governor, or WaPo could have had a sampled with slightly more Democrats in it. M

I reviewed the placement of all the races this morning and found that LA-03 was shifted one column towards the Republicans and have fixed that in today's update. I haven't been able to confirm the FL-22 poll from Insider Advantage I mentioned last night. I've added it to the spreadsheet, but with question marks for the date and size, and it does not figure into where FL-22 is placed on the chart. However, in researching that poll I came across two other poll references. GA-12 (Insider Advantage, "earlier this week", 310 LV, MoE +/-5.6%) 42% John Barrow (R) 39% Max Burns (D) (Inc.) This is the first independent poll on this race, and only the second one I'm aware of at all, and makes this the only Democratic-held seat where the Republican is ahead in the most recent polling. There's a very high percentage of undecideds here, though, for this late in the race. FL-24 (Zogby (D), October 20-21, 402 LV, MoE +/-5%) 45% Tom Feeney (R) (Inc.) 43% Clint Curtis (D) I'

Based on the most recent five polls (but not including the same pollster twice) here are the current averages in the battleground states. At this point is looks like the GOP would lose four seats and still retain a 51-47-2 advantage. Connecticut: Ohio: Lieberman(I) 51.4% + 13.8 Dewine(R) 40.4% - 7.2% Lamont(D) 37.6% Brown(D) 47.6% Missouri: Pennsylvania: Talent(R) 45.4% +1.6% Santorum(R) 39.6% -10.2% McCaskill(D) 43.8% Casey(D) 50.4% Montana: Rhode Island Burns(R) 42.2% - 4.8% Chaffee(R) 41.4% -6.4 Tester(D) 47.0% Whitehouse(D) 48.6% New Jersey Tennessee Menendez(D) 45.8% +6.6% Corker(R) 46.2% +2.0 Kean Jr(R) 39.2% Ford(D) 44.2% Maryland Virginia Cardin(D) 46% +7.6% Allen(R) 47.4% +3.8 Steele(R) 44.4%

Available now is the very first Congressional polling spreadsheet created by Indy Voter. Also available is the Senate polling spreadsheet created by your's truly. I will also add a link to the 2006 Election page sidebar for these spread sheets.

The chart shows the result from the latest independent House poll for each race or, for races where more than one poll was completed the same week that the most recent poll, the average of those polls. Some of the results look wacky as a result (e.g. there's no way that either Massa leads by 12 in NY-29 or Whalen leads by 13 in IA-01) but that's a drawback to showing only the most recent polls. Coldheart and I have been discussing putting a copy of the poll tracking spreadsheet up so everyone here can view the polling history of all the 68 races at any time, and are going to try and upload the current spreadsheet (currently with 254 polls) over the weekend. If that goes smoothly the spreadsheet should be available by Monday. The plan would then be to update the online spreadsheet with the current data each weekend until Election Day. Below is the weekly summary of the latest polling for the 24(!!) races which are in the "No Clear Leader" category.

That poll I've been running on the side of the page was looking a little stale, so I've finally got around to changing it. You may recall, I asked, after Florida in 2000 and Ohio in 2004, which state you thought would be keeping us up all night on election day in 2008. 496 of you voted, and here's what you said: Ohio (137 votes, 28%)Florida (73, 15%)Pennsylvania (66, 13%)Nowhere (45, 9%)Somewhere else (34, 7%)Michigan (33, 7%)Nevada (24, 5%)Iowa (19, 4%)New Mexico (18, 4%)Wisconsin (18, 4%)Minnesota (15, 3%)New Hampshire (8, 2%)Oregon (6, 1%) I chose the states that I did because they were the most marginal in the 2004 election - won by either Bush or Kerry by a margin of 5.0 percentage points or less, plus Florida (where Bush's winning margin was 5.1%) for old time's sake. Ohio was, in fact, the sixth most marginal state in 2004, after Wisconsin, Iowa, New Mexico, New Hampshire and Pennsylvania. Given the current state of the Ohio Republican Party, I'd personally be inclin

If you haven't voted yet, you still have time. Just don't do this:A man who reportedly believed Republicans were conspiring to steal today's election entered an Allentown polling site, signed in and proceeded to smash the screen of one of the electronic voting machines with a metal cat paperweight, poll volunteers said.Alas, it was to no avail:Lehigh County Board of Elections Chief Clerk Stacy J. Sterner said votes recorded on the machine were saved. More than 130 people had voted at the site by the time of the incident."The good news is that even though the machine is broken, the votes are not lost on the memory card. They have them in custody at the voter registration office," Sterner said.

There is new polling data out from a number of states, and much of it is quite encouraging with regard to Senator Hagel. The charts are from Race 4 2008.MissouriMcCain 31%Giuliani 18%Gingrich 14%Brownback 5% Hagel 3%Romney 2%Thompson 2%Huckabee 1%Gilmore, Hunter, Pataki 0%Undecided 24% FloridaGiuliani 30%Gingrich 16%McCain 15%Romney 2% Hagel 2%Brownback 1%Huckabee 1%Pataki 1%Gilmore, Hunter, Thompson 0%Undecided 32% PennsylvaniaGiuliani 35%McCain 25% Hagel 4%Brownback 2%Romney 1%Gilmore 1%Huckabee 1%Hunter, Pataki, Thompson 0%Undecided 21% IllinoisGiuliani 33%McCain 24%Romney 12%Gingrich 8%Brownback 4%Thompson 4% Hagel 3%Hunter 1%Gilmore, Huckabee, Pataki 0%Undecided 11% New MexicoGiuliani 38%McCain 20%Gingrich 9%Romney 7% Hagel 6%Brownback 4%Pataki 1%Gilmore, Huckabee, Hunter, Thompson 0%Undecided 15% CaliforniaGiuliani 33%Gingrich 19%McCain 18% Hagel 5%Romney 3%Hunter 1%Brownback, Gilmore, Huckabee, Pataki, Thompson 0%Undecided 22% North CarolinaGiuliani 34%McCain 26%Gingrich 11%Huc

Great news from Marist! Former Mayor Rudy Giuliani tops the field of possible Republican presidential nominees for 2008 for his party's nomination according to the latest polling from The Marist College Institute For Public Opinion. He leads his closest competitor, John McCain, by seven percentage points. According to Marist:Giuliani leads the field of Republicans for his party's 2008 presidential nomination with the support of 28% of Republicans or Republican leaning independents. He is followed by Senator John McCain with 21%, former Congressman Newt Gingrich with 11%, and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with 10%. A field of nine other potential Republican presidential contenders trail with low single digit support.Why is this great news you ask? Because as we can see, lowly old Mitt Romney is only polling at 10% right now. Maybe those commercials he is releasing that tout him as a "business legend" who "rescued the